De-Globalization is being driven by the Trump Administration as they impose tariffs on Steel and Aluminum imports from EU, Canada And Mexico (1) (2). Increasing trade barriers between China and the USA are helping China decrease their dependency on US trade (3) (4). India joins in breaking with US-dominance by imposing tariffs on US exports (5).
US debt is at historic highs leading to loss of faith in the dollar and a vulnerable nation(6), and further alienation of trade partners by banning competitors rather than building better products back home (7). US and EU are currently united against Russia and China (8), however, US sanctions against Iran and Russia are more damaging to Europe’s economy and could lead to increasing tensions between the allies (9) (10), and Europe breaking free of Washington’s grip (11).
US is further isolating itself from the global community (12) (13) (14), leading to a potentially unpredictable outcome in the long run (15), however, in the short run, we don’t expect an intensification of the trade war as suggest by more pessimistic analysts (16) also given the matter that most of the current tariff talks have still not been put in place and are more “marketing” than real politics (17). Looking to recent history, the last time punitive tariffs were imposed on American trade partners, it ended up being detrimental to the dollar causing a plunge in the S&P 500 (18).
USA haben größte Schulden der Geschichte, Dollar könnte Status als Nr.1 Währung verlieren
Trump, Iran und Israel: Amerika hat keine Freunde, nur abhängige Vasallen oder Feinde
Has Europe Rebelled?
What is Donald Trump's position?
Making America Irrelevant Again
The US-China Trade War Summarized In One Chart